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Why the Sharks might not be able to draft Shane Wright even if they win NHL Draft Lottery

Why the Sharks might not be able to draft Shane Wright even if they win NHL Draft Lottery

It’s possible for the San Jose Sharks to win the NHL’s Draft Lottery next month and still not own the No. 1 overall selection.

According to rules put in place last year by the NHL for this season, a team can move up a limit of 10 spots if it wins one of the two draws in the draft lottery, so only the top 11 seeds are eligible to get the first overall pick in the NHL Draft.

If the Sharks finish the season with the NHL’s 12th-worst record, something that is a distinct possibility, the best they can do is draft second overall.

All teams that do not qualify for this year’s Stanley Cup Playoffs – or the teams that have acquired the first-round drafting positions of those non-playoff teams – participate in the lottery.

The NHL released the allocation of odds for the first lottery draw. The team that finishes last overall out of 32 teams will have an 18.5 percent chance of winning the lottery, and the team with the second-worst record will have a 13.5 percent chance.

Seed – Odds

1 – 18.5%

2 – 13.5%

3 – 11.5%

4 – 9.5%

5 – 8.5%

6 – 7.5%

7 – 6.5%

8 – 6.0%

9 – 5.0%

10 – 3.5%

11 – 3.0%

12 – 2.5%

13 – 2.0%

14 – 1.5%

15 – 0.5%

16 – 0.5%

For the second lottery draw, the odds for the remaining teams will increase on a proportionate basis, based on which team wins the first draw. The 14 teams not selected in the lottery will be assigned the remaining draft selections, among 1 through 16 in the first round, in inverse order of regular-season points.

Going into Wednesday, the Sharks and Anaheim Ducks both had points percentages of .474, tied for 11th worst in the NHL. The Sharks are 30-34-12 with 72 points and have six games remaining. The Ducks, at 30-34-14, have four games left.

The Sharks finish the season with games against St. Louis, Chicago, Vegas, Anaheim, Edmonton, and Seattle. Of those teams, only the Blues have clinched a playoff spot, although the Oilers are on the verge of advancing to the postseason as well.

The Golden Knights, as of Wednesday, were out of a playoff spot, and the Blackhawks, Ducks, and Kraken have all been eliminated from contention.

The NHL also announced that the draft lottery will be held remotely on May 10 at NHL Network’s Secaucus, N.J., studio. The event will be shown live at 3:30 p.m. PT on both ESPN and ESPN+.

Mathematically, the Sharks could still have anywhere from the league’s 14th-worst record to the seventh-worst record. Realistically, the Sharks are more likely to finish anywhere from 12th-worst to eighth-worst, as they, Anaheim, Columbus, Detroit, and Buffalo were all separated by just seven points going into Wednesday.

Source: Culled From Paradise Post.

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