Nuggets vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 1

Published 7:19 pm Tuesday, December 31, 2024

The Atlanta Hawks (18-15) are underdogs (+4.5) in their attempt to build on a four-game win streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (18-13) at 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, January 1, 2025 at Ball Arena. The matchup airs on ALT and FDSSE.

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Nuggets vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
Time: 9:00 PM ET
How to watch on TV: ALT and FDSSE
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Location: Denver, Colorado
Venue: Ball Arena

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Nuggets vs. Hawks Score Prediction

Prediction:
Nuggets 122 – Hawks 115

Spread & Total Prediction for Nuggets vs. Hawks

Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 4.5)
Computer Predicted Spread: Nuggets (-6.7)
Pick OU:
Under (245.5)
Computer Predicted Total: 237.3

The Hawks’ .455 ATS win percentage (15-18-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Nuggets’ .419 mark (13-18-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
Atlanta covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point underdog or more 60% of the time. That’s more often than Denver covers as a favorite of 4.5 or more (40%).
Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the point total 66.7% of the time this season (22 out of 33). That’s less often than Denver and its opponents have (21 out of 31).
As a moneyline favorite this season, the Nuggets are 13-9, while the Hawks are 11-8 as moneyline underdogs.

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Nuggets Performance Insights

The Nuggets are surrendering 117.5 points per game this year (24th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really played well offensively, putting up 120.5 points per game (third-best).
Denver is averaging 45 boards per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 43.1 rebounds per contest (eighth-ranked).
With 31.3 assists per game, the Nuggets are best in the league in the category.
Denver ranks 15th in the NBA with 14 turnovers per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 19th with 13.6 forced turnovers per game.
The Nuggets haven’t been sinking many three-pointers this year, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA (11.7 threes made per game). But they rank fourth-best in the league with a 38.1% shooting percentage when they do fire from beyond the arc.

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Hawks Performance Insights

The Hawks are the fifth-best team in the NBA in points scored (117.8 per game) but fifth-worst in points allowed (118.8).
Atlanta is the fourth-best team in the league in rebounds per game (45.8) and is ranked 16th in rebounds allowed (44.2).
At 29.8 assists per game, the Hawks are third-best in the league.
In 2024-25, Atlanta is 25th in the NBA in turnovers committed (15.6 per game) and fourth-best in turnovers forced (16.1).
With 12.9 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.5% from beyond the arc, the Hawks are 18th and 18th in the league, respectively, in those categories.

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Nuggets vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 1