Arkansas State vs. Troy Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 15

Saturday’s contest between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-7, 10-3 Sun Belt) and the Troy Trojans (16-9, 9-4 Sun Belt) at First National Bank Arena has a projected final score of 74-69 based on our computer prediction, with Arkansas State taking home the win. Game time is at 8:00 PM ET on February 15.

According to our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the spread (5.5) versus Arkansas State. The two teams are expected to come in below the 144.5 total.

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Arkansas State vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Jonesboro, Arkansas
• Venue: First National Bank Arena
• Line: Arkansas State -5.5
• Point total: 144.5
• Moneyline (to win): Arkansas State -240, Troy +195

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Arkansas State vs. Troy Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Arkansas State 74, Troy 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Arkansas State vs. Troy

• Pick ATS: Troy (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (144.5)

Arkansas State has a 15-10-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Troy, who is 13-10-0 ATS. The Red Wolves are 11-14-0 and the Trojans are 8-15-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams score 152.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Arkansas State is 9-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall while Troy has gone 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves’ +248 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 79.3 points per game (61st in college basketball) while allowing 69.8 per contest (117th in college basketball).
• Arkansas State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.5 boards. It is pulling down 37.3 rebounds per game (eighth in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 34.8 per contest.
• Arkansas State makes 9.2 three-pointers per game (54th in college basketball) at a 32.5% rate (263rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.3 per game its opponents make at a 29.4% rate.
• The Red Wolves average 96.9 points per 100 possessions (148th in college basketball), while allowing 85.3 points per 100 possessions (26th in college basketball).
• Arkansas State has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 9.8 per game (43rd in college basketball play) while forcing 12.3 (116th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans outscore opponents by 7.9 points per game (posting 72.9 points per game, 218th in college basketball, and giving up 65.0 per contest, 27th in college basketball) and have a +199 scoring differential.
• Troy wins the rebound battle by an average of 6.6 boards. It grabs 34.7 rebounds per game (57th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1.
• Troy connects on 7.7 three-pointers per game (176th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.9 on average.
• Troy forces 13.5 turnovers per game (45th in college basketball) while committing 13.6 (337th in college basketball).

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