Alabama State vs. UAPB Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 15

Saturday’s game at H.O. Clemmons Arena has the Alabama State Hornets (10-14, 6-5 SWAC) squaring off against the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (4-20, 1-10 SWAC) at 6:30 PM ET on February 15. Our computer prediction projects a 81-74 victory for Alabama State, who are favored by our model.

According to our computer prediction, UAPB projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup versus Alabama State. The over/under is listed at 158.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Pine Bluff, Arkansas
• Venue: H.O. Clemmons Arena
• Line: Alabama State -8.5
• Point total: 158.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -500, UAPB +360

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 81, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: UAPB (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (158.5)

Alabama State is 7-15-0 against the spread, while UAPB’s ATS record this season is 9-13-0. A total of 11 out of the Hornets’ games this season have gone over the point total, and 14 of the Golden Lions’ games have gone over. The two teams put up 148.3 points per game combined, 10.2 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Over the past 10 contests, Alabama State has a 1-9 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall. UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have been outscored by 2.5 points per game (scoring 74.5 points per game to rank 171st in college basketball while allowing 77.0 per outing to rank 311th in college basketball) and have a -59 scoring differential overall.
• Alabama State comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 5.8 boards. It is recording 31.1 rebounds per game (247th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.9 per outing.
• Alabama State connects on 9.1 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball), 1.1 more than its opponents (8.0). It is shooting 33.0% from beyond the arc (237th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.1%.
• The Hornets record 93.4 points per 100 possessions (248th in college basketball), while giving up 96.4 points per 100 possessions (284th in college basketball).
• Alabama State has committed 2.8 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.8 (ninth in college basketball action) while forcing 11.6 (169th in college basketball).

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions put up 73.8 points per game (197th in college basketball) while giving up 87.8 per outing (364th in college basketball). They have a -336 scoring differential and have been outscored by 14.0 points per game.
• The 30.4 rebounds per game UAPB accumulates rank 284th in the nation, 5.3 fewer than the 35.7 its opponents collect.
• UAPB makes 7.5 three-pointers per game (199th in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 32.0% from deep (288th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 35.7%.
• UAPB loses the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 14.3 (352nd in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.8.

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